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BEST OF DOUG NOLAND
November 30, 2007
Historians will look back at this period and have difficulty
comprehending how a nation could have so indecorously squandered the
benefit and privilege associated with reigning over the world’s reserve
unit of exchange. Especially when it comes to energy resources, dollar
devaluation has had momentous real consequences. Our vulnerabilities
have been further exposed, while the standing of our competitors has
been enhanced and our enemies empowered. Worse yet, the leading
beneficiary of U.S. inflationism has been, not coincidently, the most
unstable tinderbox region of the world. It is precisely these types of
momentous inflation and economic consequences that manifest into
financial and economic upheaval and calamitous global conflicts.
It was a short but eventful week. The Credit disaster unfolding at the
GSEs came into clearer focus with the release of earnings from Freddie
Mac. Agency debt and MBS spreads widened markedly. The mortgage
implosion was at the brink of a major turn for the worst, with liquidity
concerns spurring significantly wider Credit default swap prices for
Rescap, GMAC, Countrywide, the Credit insurers, and financial
institutions generally. The dominoes are lined up. Yet it is this type
of acute stress that has always in the past extorted aggressive
policymaker action. The Fed’s traditional tool box, however, is woefully
deficient to deal with impending Credit Collapse. I can only assume
they’re now diligently at work crafting new implements.
Doug Noland is a market strategist at Prudent Bear Funds. Their
website is www.prudentbear.com. |