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BEST OF DOUG NOLAND
October 1, 2007
We believe the current course of Fed policy is an attempt to Sustain
the Unsustainable. The Q2 Flow of Funds report certainly confirms the
enormity of ongoing Credit creation, intensive Risk Intermediation, and
Financial Sector Ballooning – Classic Credit Bubble Dynamics. The bottom
line is that only extreme levels of Credit expansion and intermediation
now sustain bloated and maladjusted financial, economic and asset market
structures. As we’ve witnessed, any interruption in the Credit creation
process will almost immediately instigate financial dislocation. The Fed
has chosen aggressive action in hopes of resuscitating Credit excess and
Bubble Perpetuation. A less risky strategy for our system and currency
would necessitate air flowing the other direction - out of Credit, asset
and economic Bubbles. Postponing the adjustment process at this point
ensures greater future financial tumult and economic hardship.
Doug Noland is a market strategist at Prudent Bear Funds. Their
website is www.prudentbear.com. |