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BEST OF DOUG NOLAND
April 30, 2007
As long as Credit expands at the current rapid pace the consumer will
undoubtedly keep spending and asset markets will keep inflating. And as
long as the Credit Bubble is sustained U.S. financial assets may appear
sufficiently enticing to our foreign Creditors (although they must not
be that attractive or foreign central banks wouldn’t have been forced
into accumulating about $1 TN of reserves the past year). But this is
Ponzi Finance at its most extreme. The U.S. financial sector must now
balloon rapidly and incessantly to sustain over-consumption; to maintain
inflated real estate and securities values; to support corporate
earnings and income growth; and, importantly, to support the
ever-growing pyramid of financial sector debt obligations. But as we
have been witnessing of late, this kind of Credit system expansion
creates only more dollar liquidity to add to the global deluge. If only,
in Minsky’s language, "Ponzi Finance Units" could live forever. There
will, at some point, be a reversal of flows out of Wall Street "finance"
that will likely coincide with a flight from the dollar.
Doug Noland is a market strategist at Prudent Bear Funds. Their
website is www.prudentbear.com. |