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Jim Cook

 

RUNAWAY SOCIAL SYMPATHY

Every once in a while I switch the TV channel from Fox to CNBC to see what the liberals are saying.  After listening awhile I get a deep sense of hopelessness and foreboding for our country.  The most important thing for the left is giving money to people.  They are happy to see the growth of food stamps, disability payments, housing subsidies, free healthcare and all the other welfare benefits.  They utterly fail to see the damage it is doing to the recipients.  Whole cities that once flourished have deteriorated into rotting eyesores populated with shambling hulks of chemically dependent drones.  These people are no longer employable.  They have become incompetent and helpless and the liberals can’t see that it’s their doing.

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The Best of Jim Cook Archive

 
Commentary Of The Month
September 15, 2015
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THE GREAT FINANCIAL CATASTROPHE

By Egon von Greyerz

Most people are blissfully ignorant of the fact that 2007-8 was just a mild rehearsal of what we soon are going to experience. The additional $60 trillion in credit and printed money since then and the lowering of interest rates to zero have given the world the impression that all is now well again. Let me be very clear, nothing is well. As a matter of fact in the 8 years since the start of the Great Financial Crisis the bubble economy has now properly spread to the world’s second largest economy – China.  China has had exponential growth in debt from $2 trillion to $28T this century. A major part of this debt has financed white elephant projects and ghost cities. It would be surprising if the total Chinese bad debts were below $10 trillion before all of this is finished.

The bubble contagion has also totally infected most emerging markets. With massive growth in debts, a stronger dollar and collapsing commodity prices, almost every emerging economy is now staring into the abyss. The contagion is already spreading to the West and this autumn we will see stock market falls that will shock the world, spreading massive fear throughout the world economy. I expect this to be the beginning of the end of the 100 year old failed experiment of manipulation and repression of the financial system by bankers and central banks. So the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-9 will now transcend into the Great Financial Catastrophe. This could very well involve a total reset or more likely a collapse of the world economy, financial system and world political system.

I realize that this forecast sounds very alarmist and like an impossible doomsday scenario. I sincerely hope I will be totally wrong. But sadly the risk that I will be right or at least partly right is major after 100 years of excesses in the world built on no solid foundation but an ocean of debt and printed money. Nobel Prize winners in economics, central bankers and ordinary people will learn the hard way that worthless pieces of paper that they call money cannot create real lasting wealth. For the privileged few that have wealth to protect, gold and silver outside the banking system is a must. At the end of this reset, we will hopefully see a world based on rewarding real work and investment, with real ethical and moral values and a sound monetary system. But the road there will be very long and arduous.