BEST OF JIM COOK
September 19, 2006
FAITH
When you make a financial commitment it is, in
reality, an act of faith. You have faith in your own judgment, or if you
rely on the advice of others, you have faith in that person’s opinion.
If you buy a stock based on the comments you hear on financial TV, you
have faith in the person giving that advice.
Much of what we do in life is based on faith. Our
daily activities require faith that the outcomes we hope for will be
there. Faith is a necessary ingredient to progress. Without it, no one
would attempt anything new. Trailblazers and pioneers wouldn’t exist.
Faith is the key ingredient to success. Faith is the antidote for lack
of courage and fear. Faith is a mandatory ingredient to life itself and
most especially a fruitful life. Faith is of the first importance in
achieving financial security and peace of mind.
When we send out our newsletter advocating silver, we
are attempting to secure your faith in our judgment. When you read one
of Ted Butler’s essays and you buy silver, you are acting on faith. In
this case, you have faith in Mr. Butler’s knowledge and understanding.
Our current task is to infuse you with enough of Mr. Butler’s insights
to encourage your faith in his judgment.
Some of our readers reach this threshold and buy
silver. I personally have bought silver based on Mr. Butler’s advice.
More significantly, however, I have staked the success of my company on
his advice. If my faith were to be misplaced, it would be ruinous to my
financial security. Unquestionably it’s true that faith can be
misplaced. When I first connected with Mr. Butler, silver was trading at
slightly over $4.00 an ounce. A fairly prominent newsletter came out
recommending selling silver and also buying put options on silver. The
author claimed that silver was "more common than cockroaches." He
expected silver to go down dramatically and you could profit by selling
it short. That advice backfired badly. People who had faith in that
writer suffered painful losses.
Life serves up abundant setbacks, struggles and
disappointments. The most important advice for handling these
predicaments were penned years ago by the success writer, Napoleon Hill.
"Every adversity, every failure and every heartache carries with it the
seed of an equivalent or a greater benefit." To accept that powerful
fact simply requires a greater level of faith.
These setbacks do, indeed, give us a better handle on
who we might place our faith in when it comes to making financial
commitments. Disappointments sharpen our judgment. On the other hand,
following someone’s advice to a successful conclusion increases our
level of faith in that person.
So far, so good with Ted Butler. My faith in his
views has been magnified because the price of silver has tripled since I
first interviewed him. His accomplishments are impressive. He made the
dubious practice of gold and silver leasing understandable, and he
roundly condemned it as an accident waiting to happen. Subsequently,
major mining companies took a shellacking, and huge losses still haunt
mining companies that employed this practice.
He pointed out a large insurance company that was a
dominant short seller in silver and questioned their tactics publicly.
Before long they appeared to vanish from the silver market. He explained
that the price of silver was set almost exclusively through COMEX
trading. He showed that tech funds trading through computerized programs
in commodities were the dominant silver buyers on the COMEX. He showed
how they were getting crushed by the big dealers who were short. He
questioned how long they could sustain such losses and, sure enough, in
the last few months many have left the silver market. He predicted that
the price of silver would rise and it did. He preached about the
possibility of delivery default on the commodity exchanges and it
happened recently with nickel. His prognostications, explanations and
clear insights have generated a large following and caused many people
to buy silver for the first time.
I can tell you that my faith in his opinions has
increased. He claims the big short sellers, perhaps China and a few
others, have a lot to lose if silver goes up. When he says they are
trying to keep a lid on the price, I believe him. When he points out
that a shortage exists in available silver, and this physical demand
will override the short sellers, I suspect that’s right. And when he
says the price will have to explode upward, I believe it, not just
because I want to believe it, but because Mr. Butler has proven he has
no peer as a silver analyst. That’s also why I think you should have
enough faith in his judgment to buy silver for yourself.